The third thing is dependent on
scenario two—the House passes impeachment and sends articles to the Senate. Then,
certain Republican senators who are up for reelection, as well as GOP
candidates, will have a decision on their hands. Biden will never be convicted,
as that requires a two-thirds vote. And there aren’t many states where
Democrats have a realistic chance of a pick-up. But the conventional wisdom today
is that the Republicans will retake the Senate. That depends on them picking
off, say, Sherrod Brown in Ohio. His GOP opponent (the leader right now is
Secretary of State Frank LaRose) will be under heavy pressure in the primary to
support impeachment. Good luck with that in the general. A crazy impeachment,
as I’m sure Mitch McConnell well knows, gives the Democrats a fighting shot at
holding the Senate.
All of which brings us to the
central question I posed above. Impeach him for what?
On Fox News Monday night, McCarthy
said something about the administration withholding information and compared
Biden to Nixon. I’m not even sure what he’s talking about. There was a claim
that Biden withheld 1,850 boxes of papers from his time as vice president. The
AP judged
that claim false. The FBI was refusing for a time to provide Republican
oversight chair James Comer with some information, but eventually Comer (and
his entire committee) saw the material, which of course didn’t say what the
Republicans claim it said. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s impeachment
resolution, which she introduced back in January, is about “bribery” and
doesn’t even mention withholding documents.